NYSE Composite Index - 1986

The following graph plots the year-to-date performance of the index for 1986 compared to the probability calculated by a random walk model.

Initial Value: 1285.66 Hist. Volatility: 0.55% Annual Drift: 7% Final Value: 1465.31 Percentile: 74%
Click on the image for the high resolution version.

The high to date and low to date prices of the stock plotted against a random walk model for 1986 (what's this?).